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IEA-ETP (IEA, 2017b)420 considered the technological options available to reduce CO2 emissions in the buildings sector. In the absence of additional mitigation, the best opportunities for reducing the emissions from buildings in 2050 are non-CO2 containing products and services, improved building envelope performance and the introduction of clean natural gas systems. However, to achieve the building sector’s 2050 decarbonization target, a suite of complementary, system-level and sector-wide options can reduce the emissions released by a range of building-sector activities. A large range of options are available to decarbonise the building sector, including investments in energy efficiency, renewable energy, natural gas, alternative fuels, heating and cooling, and the electrification of transportation. The potential for CO2 offsets in the buildings sector is limited, with the majority from energy efficiency, and investments in renewable energy and electricity generation. The introduction of natural gas in new buildings and the use of existing natural gas infrastructure to provide heat to buildings via district heating or heat pump systems would have a substantial positive effect on CO2 emissions, although this would be partially offset by increased emissions from transportation.
IEA-ETP (IEA, 2017c)421 assessed the costs, risks and benefits of four emerging IEA-ETP strategies: Buildings 2030: Transitioning to a low-carbon economy, Buildings 2050: Achieving zero net emissions, Buildings 2100: Achieving a resilient, sustainable low-carbon economy and Buildings 2200: New vision for a low-carbon, sustainable world. The role of energy systems and energy infrastructure in these pathways is examined, with particular focus on the building sector in its current condition, and the potential to accelerate decarbonization and resilience, and decarbonize the building sector by 2050. The strategies all envision a multi-decade path to a low-carbon economy. Buildings 2030: Transitioning to a low-carbon economy sets out a “low-carbon economy with some shares of renewables and nuclear, primarily in the electricity sector”, with a more comprehensive set of policy and technology measures from the year 2030. Buildings 2050: Achieving zero net emissions considers a “world of zero net emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases by 2050”. 827ec27edc